The big quesitons is What is the cost of Waiting?
How much are you paying your landlord for rent when you could be paying down a mortgage?
But the rates are too high? As we have seen in many cases rates can have a subtle affect on price. Unfortunately supply and demand seem to have more influence. So does it pay to wait till rates come down?
More recently we have seen prices go up while rates have risen however remember we saw a marked decline last year from a peak high during the rate increases. The question remains will a further increase affect pricing. What it may do is force more properties to the market to avoid distress.
There will be a point in many peoples' situations where a sale will be preferable to default. One step back to move forward as it were.
In theory with the increase of availability we should see plateau or decline in pricing if and only if supply exceeds demand. This is the tipping point. So far even with increased rates we have not seen this trend develop to any great extent. What we have seen this spring is a relitively normal spring bump in the market pricing. In a normal year we would see a plateau and slight fall back in pricing as the decline in demand of summer progresses. We normally see another bump in demand in the Fall market.
So.... How do we time the market? Well any money manager will tell you that it's "Time in the market not Timing the market" Yet so many try despirately to time the real estate market.
I think the smarter strategy is to have financing in place and actively search for the property you would like to live in. I always say the hardest part of finding the perfect home is to find the perfect home. There are many peoperties that are within your financial capabilities the only question is findng that one that ticks all the boxes.
Reality Check Time...
The other reality in your home search is realizing that if you are not seeing a home that matches your relative needs ie. size and location within your budget then you must revise your criteria. ie. 4 bedroom home in the City of Toronto valued at 800k.... it probably doesn't exist and won't ever. The market has surpassed that valuation.
So the Question Remains... When is the best time to buy a home? When you need a home and want to stop paying your landlord's mortgage.
Things You Can Do To Prepare for Home Ownership
- Get your Financing process started with an Application & Rate Hold & Budget.
- Connect with Me for your Search
- Actively Look for suitable properties
- Follow The 20/30/3 rule.
The 20/30/3 rule tells you the home you can afford.
- 20% down
- Household expenses < 30% gross household income
- Price < 3x gross household income
We can ignore the math but I can guarantee that we will not be able to ignore the consequences.